OUC Economic Research Paper series No.0601

A modified Box-Cox transformation in the multivariate ARMA model
Takahiro Terasaka1 and Yuzo Hosoya2

1 Department of Economics, Otaru University of Commerce, 2 Department of Economics, Meisei University


Abstract
The Box-Cox transformation has been used as a simple method of transforming dependent variable in ordinary-linear regression circumstances for improving the Gaussian-likelihood fit and making the disturbance terms of a model reasonably homoscedastic. The paper introduces a new version of the Box-Cox transformation and investigates how it works in terms of asymptotic performance and application, focusing in particular on inference on stationary multivariate ARMA models. The paper proposes a computational estimation procedure which extends the three-step Hannan and Rissanen method so as to accommodate the transformation and, for the purpose of parameter testing, the paper proposes a Monte-Carlo Wald test. The allied algorithm is applied to a bivariate series of Tokyo stock-price index (Topix) and the call rate.

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